Certificates of deposits (CDs) continue to be worth considering as a component of your savings strategy in 2025. Yields on competitive CDs increased to historic highs in recent years, thanks to the Federal Reserve raising its benchmark rate 11 times in 2022 and 2023. In 2024, yields dipped slightly after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cut rates three times that year.
The Fed has kept rates steady so far this year and yields on competitive CDs remain relatively stable and healthy.
“The Federal Reserve raised interest rates at the fastest pace in 40 years during 2022 and 2023 in an effort to rein in inflation, with savers seeing the best returns on savings accounts and CDs in more than a decade,” says Greg McBride, CFA, Bankrate chief financial analyst.
Nearly 40 years ago, CDs were considered great investments. The average annual percentage yield (APY) on a one-year CD was over 11 percent.
But starting in 2009, in the aftermath of the Great Recession, average rates on shorter-term CDs were middling below 1 percent APY. And in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the average yields for all CD terms, including 5-year CDs, plunged below 1 percent APY.
But in early 2022, CD rates started to climb back up with the onset of Fed rate hikes. APYs peaked in late 2023, before seeing some declines as banks anticipated the Fed would lower its benchmark rate in 2024.
The average one-year CD is 2 percent APY as of June 06, 2025.The most competitive banks are offering APYs of up to 4.40 percent on one-year CDs.
Here’s a look at the historical ups and downs of CD rates and some background on rate fluctuations through the decades.
CD rates in the 1980s
The U.S. faced two recessions in the early 1980s. That’s when CD yields peaked. On average, three-month CDs in early May 1981 paid about 18.3 percent APY, according to data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve.
The reason interest rates were so high in the 1980s was due to high inflation. With inflation, the cost of goods and services rises and your money doesn’t buy as much. And so, while savers enjoyed higher rates on their CDs, their spending power took a hit.
“Interest rates were significantly higher in the early 1980s as the Federal Reserve, led by Paul Volcker, used high rates to corral double-digit inflation,” McBride says.
CD rates in the 1990s
Following another short recession in the early 1990s, conditions improved and inflation fell. Overall, the decade was marked by a solid economy.
“CD yields dropped in the early 1990s following a recession and on the heels of the Fed’s efforts a decade earlier to break inflation,” McBride says. “Yields stabilized in the second half of the decade amid a sustained economic expansion.”
CD rates in the 2000s
In early 2000, after the dot-com boom began to lose steam, the economy started to slow and the Fed lowered interest rates to stimulate the economy.
The average yield on one-year CDs fell below 2 percent APY in 2002, Bankrate data shows.
In September 2009, following the global financial crisis, the average one-year CD paid less than 1 percent APY. Average rates on five-year CDs were only slightly higher — about 2.2 percent APY.
Other rates fell, too, as the central bank slashed its benchmark interest rate.
“This decade was bookended by recessions, both of which brought about record-low interest rates for their time,” McBride says. “In the middle was a housing boom and 17 interest rate hikes by the Fed that produced a camel-back look to the trend in CD yields.”
CD rates from 2010 to 2019
The Federal Reserve’s efforts to stimulate the economy following the Great Recession of 2007-2009 left many banks flush with cash, so they didn’t need to boost rates on CDs to obtain money for lending.
CD yields reached historic lows. In June 2013, average yields on one-year and five-year CDs were 0.24 percent APY and 0.77 percent APY, respectively, according to Bankrate data.
“CD yields continued to fall in the years following the Great Recession as the Federal Reserve kept benchmark interest rates at near zero amid a sluggish economic recovery,” McBride says.
As the Fed gradually increased its benchmark interest rate between December 2015 and 2018, savers started to benefit.
“The Fed raised interest rates nine times between 2015 and 2018 before beginning a reversal of course in the second half of 2019 in an effort to sustain what by then was a record-long economic expansion,” McBride says.
Then, the COVID-19 pandemic struck in early 2020, causing a worldwide economic earthquake.
“When COVID-19 shook global economies, the Fed quickly brought benchmark rates to near-zero levels to provide fuel for a recovery,” explains McBride.
CD rates from 2020-2023
In March 2020, the Fed made a couple of emergency rate cuts as a result of the economic lockdowns brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Here’s how CD rates fell in the year after those emergency rate cuts of 2020 were made:
- From June 2020 to June 2021, the average one-year CD dropped to 0.17 percent APY from 0.41 percent APY.
- From June 2020 to June 2021, the average five-year CD fell to 0.31 percent APY from 0.6 percent APY.
“CD yields fell to new record lows when interest rates were slashed to near-zero levels in the early stages of the pandemic,” says McBride.
However, average CD rates shot up in subsequent years. In June 2021, one-year CDs averaged 0.17 percent APY and five-year CDs averaged 0.31 percent APY. In September 2023, one-year CDs averaged 1.92 percent APY and five-year CDs averaged 1.29 percent APY.
This was largely due to the fact that the Fed hiked rates 11 times in 2022 and 2023, incentivizing banks to charge more on loans while also paying out more on savings products, including CDs. (The federal funds rate has an indirect effect on CDs.)
Current trends in CD rates
CD rates have decreased from their current-cycle peak in November 2023 in anticipation of and after the Fed’s decision to cut rates three times in 2024. Persistent inflation and a slowing labor market influenced this move. But top CD rates and savings accounts are still outpacing inflation.
“Interest rates have pulled back from the high levels enjoyed over the past couple years, but all is not lost for savers,” McBride says. “The top-yielding savings accounts and certificates of deposit should continue to pay returns exceeding the rate of inflation for the foreseeable future, even as interest rates come down.”
CD yields stabilized during the first and second quarters of 2025 after the FOMC voted in its first three meetings of the year to maintain the federal funds rate at its current target range of 4.25-4.5 percent.
Looking at the national average CD rates, you can see the relative health and stability in CD rates in the last year. Bankrate’s rate survey data as of June 2, 2025 shows:
- The national average one-year CD yield was 2 percent APY, compared with an average yield of 2.08 percent around a year earlier.
- The national average five-year CD yield was 1.72 percent APY, which is higher than the rate of 1.49 percent around a year ago.
Impact of Federal Reserve decisions on CD rates
Annual percentage yields on savings products and deposit accounts tend to move when the Federal Reserve’s interest rate changes. When the federal funds rate declines, there will often be a decline in deposit rates for top-yielding CDs and savings accounts. Similarly, when the federal funds rate increases, you’ll likely see an increase in deposit rates.
This relationship occurs because the federal funds rate is a benchmark for the cost of money in the banking system. When the Fed raises or lowers its rate, it may influence the rates banks pay to secure deposits used to fund their lending and investment activities. Note, though, that not all banks will change their rates in response to the Fed’s moves and there are other factors that could impact rates. Some banks, especially big banks, will pay rock-bottom rates no matter what the federal funds rate is.
Effect of economic conditions on CD rates
Macroeconomic conditions also impact CD rates. Although CD yields are often tied to the federal funds rate and not directly to a recession, the impact of a recession filters through.
A recession usually occurs after a series of Fed rate hikes. High inflation followed by an increase in the federal funds rate to lower inflation could eventually lead to a recession. In this event, the Fed would respond by lowering the benchmark federal funds rate. Consequently, CD yields would start to decline.
During and long after the Great Recession, which took place from December 2007 to June 2009, CD yields demonstrated prolonged aftershocks. For example, yields on one-year CDs hovered below 0.50 percent APY for nearly eight years. One-year CD rates were close to zero once again for roughly two years during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Forecast: Where CD rates are heading
Things have been stable for CD rates lately, but some experts foresee a downward trend toward the end of the year.
“Projections indicate a potential 0.50 percentage point reduction by the end of 2025, with further cuts anticipated in 2026, says Chikako Tyler, chief financial officer at California Bank and Trust. “These anticipated rate cuts are likely to lead to lower CD rates, as banks adjust their offerings in response to the Fed’s actions.”
Despite potential declines, some experts anticipate that CDs will continue to outpace inflation. As of this writing, the current annual inflation rate is 2.3 percent while the highest yield on a one-year CD is 4.40 percent APY.
Bottom Line
Despite fluctuating rates over the years, CDs once again proved to be a worthy investment in 2024, and they’re worth considering for savers in 2025. Although the Fed did lower interest rates — after bringing them to a 23-year high — APYs on competitive CDs remain well above the current rate of inflation. To make the most of high APYs, compare top CD options and find the highest rate at the right term for your needs.
* In June 2023, Bankrate updated its methodology that determines the national average CD rates. However, the data in this article’s graphs is based on historical data from Bankrate’s previous methodology.
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